🇫🇷 France 3–0 Honduras 🇭🇳

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €379M · value #5 · Elo #11

3–0France win

value €21M · value #32 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

68.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.55

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

228

1896 vs 1668

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup