🇩🇪 Germany 1–0 France 🇫🇷

2014 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

1–0Germany win

value €379M · value #5 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

55.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.86

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

127

2102 vs 1975

Stage

Quarter-final

2014 World Cup