🇪🇨 Ecuador 2–1 Honduras 🇭🇳

2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇪🇨 Ecuador
value €62M · value #25 · Elo #17
  • Antonio Valencia €16M
  • Christian Noboa €9M
  • Felipe Caicedo €5M
2–1Ecuador win
🇭🇳 Honduras
value €21M · value #32 · Elo #29
  • Emilio Izaguirre €4M
  • Maynor Figueroa €4M
  • Andy Najar €2M
Goals
Ecuador ▲Honduras ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Enner Valencia 34'34ValenciaEnner Valencia 65'65ValenciaCarlo Costly 31'31Costly
🇪🇨 Ecuador
🇭🇳 Honduras
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇨 Ecuador 60.1%draw 23.4%16.5% Honduras 🇭🇳
Model P(result)
60.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#330
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.74
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
162
1808 vs 1646

Ecuador's run

  • L 🇨🇭 1–2 Switzerland, Group
  • W 🇭🇳 2–1 Honduras, Group
  • D 🇫🇷 0–0 France, Group

Honduras's run

  • L 🇫🇷 0–3 France, Group
  • L 🇪🇨 1–2 Ecuador, Group
  • L 🇨🇭 0–3 Switzerland, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.