🇪🇨 Ecuador 2–1 Honduras 🇭🇳

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €62M · value #25 · Elo #17

2–1Ecuador win

value €21M · value #32 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

60.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.74

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

162

1808 vs 1646

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup