🇫🇷 France 2–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2014 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €379M · value #5 · Elo #11

2–0France win

value €84M · value #23 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

65.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.61

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

204

1954 vs 1750

Stage

Round of 16

2014 World Cup