🇧🇪 Belgium 2–1 Algeria 🇩🇿

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €348M · value #6 · Elo #15

2–1Belgium win

value €57M · value #27 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

68.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.55

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

225

1851 vs 1626

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup