🇩🇪 Germany 2–1 Algeria 🇩🇿

2014 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €526M · value #2 · Elo #3

2–1Germany win

value €57M · value #27 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

85.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.22

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

419

2097 vs 1678

Stage

Round of 16

2014 World Cup