🇧🇪 Belgium 1–0 South Korea 🇰🇷

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €348M · value #6 · Elo #15

1–0Belgium win

value €52M · value #28 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

72.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.46

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

264

1891 vs 1627

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup