🇦🇷 Argentina 1–0 Belgium 🇧🇪
2014 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4
Lionel Messi €120M Sergio Agüero €45M Gonzalo Higuaín €38M 1–0 Argentina win
🇧🇪 Belgium value €348M · value #6 · Elo #15
Eden Hazard €45M Vincent Kompany €35M Axel Witsel €35M Goals
Argentina ▲ Belgium ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Gonzalo Higuaín 8' 8 Higuaín
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Sergio Romero · GK 1 Romero Martín Demichelis · CB 15 Demichelis Ezequiel Garay · CB 2 Garay José María Basanta · LB 23 Basanta Pablo Zabaleta · RB 4 Zabaleta Javier Mascherano · CM 14 Mascherano Lucas Biglia · CM 6 Biglia Lionel Messi · CF 10 Messi Ezequiel Lavezzi · RW 22 Lavezzi Ángel Di María · LW 7 María Gonzalo Higuaín · CF 9 Higuaín 🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Daniel Van Buyten · CB 15 Buyten Toby Alderweireld · RB 2 Alderweireld Vincent Kompany · CB 4 Kompany Jan Vertonghen · LB 5 Vertonghen Axel Witsel · CM 6 Witsel Kevin De Bruyne · AM 7 Bruyne Marouane Fellaini · CM 8 Fellaini Eden Hazard · LW 10 Hazard Kevin Mirallas · RW 11 Mirallas Divock Origi · CF 17 Origi Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 56.1% draw 24.5% 19.4% Belgium 🇧🇪
Model P(result)
56.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#306
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.83
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run W 🇧🇦 2–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group W 🇳🇬 3–2 Nigeria, Group W 🇨🇭 1–0 Switzerland, Round of 16 W 🇧🇪 1–0 Belgium, Quarter-final D 🇳🇱 0–0 Netherlands, Semi-final L 🇩🇪 0–1 Germany, Final Belgium's run W 🇩🇿 2–1 Algeria, Group W 🇷🇺 1–0 Russia, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group W 🇺🇸 2–1 United States, Round of 16 L 🇦🇷 0–1 Argentina, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.