🇨🇭 Switzerland 2–1 Ecuador 🇪🇨

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €178M · value #15 · Elo #14

2–1Switzerland win

value €62M · value #25 · Elo #17

Model P(result)

39.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1854 vs 1836

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup