🇨🇴 Colombia 4–1 Japan 🇯🇵

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €191M · value #13 · Elo #8

4–1Colombia win

value €98M · value #20 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

67.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.57

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

220

1977 vs 1757

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup