🇨🇴 Colombia 2–0 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2014 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €191M · value #13 · Elo #8

2–0Colombia win

value €218M · value #10 · Elo #10

Model P(result)

49.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.02

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2000 vs 1913

Stage

Round of 16

2014 World Cup