🇧🇷 Brazil 2–1 Colombia 🇨🇴

2014 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1

2–1Brazil win

value €191M · value #13 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

46.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.10

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2103 vs 2034

Stage

Quarter-final

2014 World Cup