🇯🇵 Japan 2–1 Colombia 🇨🇴

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26

2–1Japan win

value €251M · value #15 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

9.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

243

1684 vs 1927

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup