🇯🇵 Japan 2–1 Colombia 🇨🇴
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇯🇵 Japan value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26
Shinji Kagawa €13M Maya Yoshida €7M Shinji Okazaki €6M 2–1 Japan win
🇨🇴 Colombia value €251M · value #15 · Elo #9
James Rodríguez €70M Davinson Sánchez €40M Juan Cuadrado €28M Goals
Japan ▲ Colombia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Shinji Kagawa 6' (pen) 6 Kagawa Yuya Osako 73' 73 Osako Juan Fernando Quintero 39' 39 Quintero
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇯🇵 Japan
Eiji Kawashima · GK 1 Kawashima Hiroki Sakai · RB 19 Sakai Maya Yoshida · CB 22 Yoshida Gen Shoji · CB 3 Shoji Yuto Nagatomo · LB 5 Nagatomo Shinji Kagawa · AM 10 Kagawa Makoto Hasebe · CM 17 Hasebe Gaku Shibasaki · CM 7 Shibasaki Takashi Inui · LW 14 Inui Yuya Osako · CF 15 Osako Genki Haraguchi · RW 8 Haraguchi 🇨🇴 Colombia
David Ospina · GK 1 Ospina Johan Mojica · LB 17 Mojica Davinson Sánchez · CB 23 Sánchez Óscar Murillo · CB 3 Murillo Santiago Arias · RB 4 Arias Jefferson Lerma · CM 16 Lerma Juan Fernando Quintero · AM 20 Quintero Carlos Sánchez · CM 6 Sánchez Juan Cuadrado · RW 11 Cuadrado José Izquierdo · LW 21 Izquierdo Radamel Falcao · CF 9 Falcao Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇯🇵 Japan 9.8% draw 19.9% 70.3% Colombia 🇨🇴
Model P(result)
9.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#13
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
3.35
−log₂ P(observed)
Japan's run W 🇨🇴 2–1 Colombia, Group D 🇸🇳 2–2 Senegal, Group L 🇵🇱 0–1 Poland, Group L 🇧🇪 2–3 Belgium, Round of 16 Colombia's run L 🇯🇵 1–2 Japan, Group W 🇵🇱 3–0 Poland, Group W 🇸🇳 1–0 Senegal, Group D 🏴 1–1 England, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup