🇮🇷 Iran 1–0 Morocco 🇲🇦

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €48M · value #28 · Elo #18

1–0Iran win

value €129M · value #21 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

45.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.15

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1790 vs 1731

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup