🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Iran 🇮🇷
2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model.
tournament · tables
🇪🇸 Spainvalue €1034M · value #2 · Elo #3
1–0Spain win
🇮🇷 Iranvalue €48M · value #28 · Elo #18
Model P(result)
67.8%
model probability of the observed score
Upset index
0.56
−log₂ P(observed)
Squads: Spain 2018 ·
Iran 2018