🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Iran 🇮🇷

2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇪🇸 Spain
value €1034M · value #2 · Elo #3
  • Sergio Busquets €80M
  • Isco €75M
  • Marco Asensio €75M
1–0Spain win
🇮🇷 Iran
value €48M · value #28 · Elo #18
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh €12M
  • Sardar Azmoun €9M
  • Karim Ansarifard €4M
Goals
Spain ▲Iran ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Diego Costa 54'54Costa
🇪🇸 Spain
🇮🇷 Iran
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 67.7%draw 20.9%11.4% Iran 🇮🇷
Model P(result)
67.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#383
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.56
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
222
2037 vs 1815

Spain's run

  • D 🇵🇹 3–3 Portugal, Group
  • W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group
  • D 🇲🇦 2–2 Morocco, Group
  • D 🇷🇺 1–1 Russia, Round of 16

Iran's run

  • W 🇲🇦 1–0 Morocco, Group
  • L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Group
  • D 🇵🇹 1–1 Portugal, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.