🇵🇹 Portugal 1–1 Iran 🇮🇷
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇵🇹 Portugal value €494M · value #8 · Elo #6
Cristiano Ronaldo €100M Bernardo Silva €50M Gonçalo Guedes €40M 1–1 draw
🇮🇷 Iran value €48M · value #28 · Elo #18
Alireza Jahanbakhsh €12M Sardar Azmoun €9M Karim Ansarifard €4M Goals
Portugal ▲ Iran ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Ricardo Quaresma 45' 45 Quaresma Karim Ansarifard 90+3' (pen) 93 Ansarifard
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇵🇹 Portugal
Rui Patrício · GK 1 Patrício Cédric · RB 21 Cédric Pepe · CB 3 Pepe Raphaël Guerreiro · LB 5 Guerreiro José Fonte · CB 6 Fonte João Mário · LM 10 Mário William Carvalho · CM 14 Carvalho Ricardo Quaresma · RM 20 Quaresma Adrien Silva · CM 23 Silva Cristiano Ronaldo · CF 7 Ronaldo André Silva · CF 9 Silva 🇮🇷 Iran
Alireza Beiranvand · GK 1 Beiranvand Majid Hosseini · CB 19 Hosseini Ramin Rezaeian · RB 23 Rezaeian Ehsan Hajsafi · LB 3 Hajsafi Morteza Pouraliganji · CB 8 Pouraliganji Alireza Jahanbakhsh · CM 18 Jahanbakhsh Saeid Ezatolahi · DM 6 Ezatolahi Omid Ebrahimi · CM 9 Ebrahimi Vahid Amiri · LW 11 Amiri Mehdi Taremi · RW 17 Taremi Sardar Azmoun · CF 20 Azmoun Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇹 Portugal 62.8% draw 22.6% 14.6% Iran 🇮🇷
Model P(result)
22.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#81
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.15
−log₂ P(observed)
Portugal's run D 🇪🇸 3–3 Spain, Group W 🇲🇦 1–0 Morocco, Group D 🇮🇷 1–1 Iran, Group L 🇺🇾 1–2 Uruguay, Round of 16 Iran's run W 🇲🇦 1–0 Morocco, Group L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Group D 🇵🇹 1–1 Portugal, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup