🇵🇹 Portugal 1–0 Morocco 🇲🇦

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €494M · value #8 · Elo #6

1–0Portugal win

value €129M · value #21 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

73.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.45

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

268

1974 vs 1706

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup