🇲🇦 Morocco 2–2 Spain 🇪🇸

2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇲🇦 Morocco
value €129M · value #21 · Elo #24
  • Hakim Ziyech €25M
  • Amine Harit €25M
  • Medhi Benatia €23M
2–2draw
🇪🇸 Spain
value €1034M · value #2 · Elo #3
  • Sergio Busquets €80M
  • Isco €75M
  • Marco Asensio €75M
Goals
Morocco ▲Spain ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'105'120'Khalid Boutaïb 14'14BoutaïbYoussef En-Nesyri 81'81En-NesyriIsco 19'19IscoIago Aspas 90+1'91Aspas
🇲🇦 Morocco
🇪🇸 Spain
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇦 Morocco 4.1%draw 14.8%81.1% Spain 🇪🇸
Model P(result)
14.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#30
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.75
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
355
1695 vs 2050

Morocco's run

  • L 🇮🇷 0–1 Iran, Group
  • L 🇵🇹 0–1 Portugal, Group
  • D 🇪🇸 2–2 Spain, Group

Spain's run

  • D 🇵🇹 3–3 Portugal, Group
  • W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group
  • D 🇲🇦 2–2 Morocco, Group
  • D 🇷🇺 1–1 Russia, Round of 16

Head-to-head at the World Cup