🇷🇸 Serbia 1–0 Costa Rica 🇨🇷
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇷🇸 Serbia value €280M · value #12 · Elo #19
Sergej Milinković-Savić €90M Nemanja Matić €40M Andrija Živković €18M 1–0 Serbia win
🇨🇷 Costa Rica value €40M · value #29 · Elo #23
Keylor Navas €18M Celso Borges €4M Joel Campbell €3M Goals
Serbia ▲ Costa Rica ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Aleksandar Kolarov 56' 56 Kolarov
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇷🇸 Serbia
Vladimir Stojković · GK 1 Stojković Aleksandar Kolarov · LB 11 Kolarov Nikola Milenković · CB 15 Milenković Duško Tošić · CB 3 Tošić Branislav Ivanović · RB 6 Ivanović Sergej Milinković-Savić · AM 20 Milinković-Savić Nemanja Matić · CM 21 Matić Luka Milivojević · CM 4 Milivojević Dušan Tadić · RW 10 Tadić Adem Ljajić · LW 22 Ljajić Aleksandar Mitrović · CF 9 Mitrović 🇨🇷 Costa Rica
Keylor Navas · GK 1 Navas Francisco Calvo · LWB 15 Calvo Cristian Gamboa · RWB 16 Gamboa Jhonny Acosta · CB 2 Acosta Giancarlo González · SW 3 González Óscar Duarte · CB 6 Duarte David Guzmán · CM 20 Guzmán Celso Borges · CM 5 Borges Bryan Ruiz · LW 10 Ruiz Johan Venegas · RW 11 Venegas Marco Ureña · CF 21 Ureña Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇷🇸 Serbia 43.2% draw 26.7% 30.1% Costa Rica 🇨🇷
Model P(result)
43.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#237
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.21
−log₂ P(observed)
Serbia's run W 🇨🇷 1–0 Costa Rica, Group L 🇨🇭 1–2 Switzerland, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Group Costa Rica's run L 🇷🇸 0–1 Serbia, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Group D 🇨🇭 2–2 Switzerland, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.