🇨🇷 Costa Rica 2–2 Switzerland 🇨🇭

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €40M · value #29 · Elo #23

2–2draw

value €218M · value #16 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

20.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.26

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

221

1708 vs 1929

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup