🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1

2–0Brazil win

value €40M · value #29 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

84.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.24

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

406

2122 vs 1716

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup