🇨🇭 Switzerland 2–1 Serbia 🇷🇸

2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇨🇭 Switzerland
value €218M · value #16 · Elo #12
  • Granit Xhaka €40M
  • Manuel Akanji €22M
  • Denis Zakaria €20M
2–1Switzerland win
🇷🇸 Serbia
value €280M · value #12 · Elo #19
  • Sergej Milinković-Savić €90M
  • Nemanja Matić €40M
  • Andrija Živković €18M
Goals
Switzerland ▲Serbia ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Granit Xhaka 52'52XhakaXherdan Shaqiri 90'90ShaqiriMitrović 5'5Mitrović
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇷🇸 Serbia
  • 5' Mitrović
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇨🇭 Switzerland 50.2%draw 25.7%24.1% Serbia 🇷🇸
Model P(result)
50.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#269
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.99
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
93
1907 vs 1814

Switzerland's run

  • D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Group
  • W 🇷🇸 2–1 Serbia, Group
  • D 🇨🇷 2–2 Costa Rica, Group
  • L 🇸🇪 0–1 Sweden, Round of 16

Serbia's run

  • W 🇨🇷 1–0 Costa Rica, Group
  • L 🇨🇭 1–2 Switzerland, Group
  • L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup