🇨🇭 Switzerland 2–1 Serbia 🇷🇸

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €218M · value #16 · Elo #12

2–1Switzerland win

value €280M · value #12 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

50.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.99

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1907 vs 1814

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup