🇸🇪 Sweden 1–0 South Korea 🇰🇷

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17

1–0Sweden win

value €88M · value #23 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

48.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.05

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1793 vs 1713

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup