🇲🇽 Mexico 2–1 South Korea 🇰🇷

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15

2–1Mexico win

value €88M · value #23 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

65.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.60

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

206

1896 vs 1690

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup