🇲🇽 Mexico 2–1 South Korea 🇰🇷

2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇲🇽 Mexico
value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15
  • Hirving Lozano €25M
  • Héctor Herrera €20M
  • Javier Hernández €15M
2–1Mexico win
🇰🇷 South Korea
value €88M · value #23 · Elo #25
  • Son Heung-min €50M
  • Hwang Hee-chan €10M
  • Ki Sung-yueng €7M
Goals
Mexico ▲South Korea ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'105'120'Carlos Vela 26' (pen)26VelaJavier Hernández 66'66HernándezSon Heung-min 90+3'93Heung-min
🇲🇽 Mexico
🇰🇷 South Korea
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 65.8%draw 21.6%12.6% South Korea 🇰🇷
Model P(result)
65.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#369
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.60
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
206
1896 vs 1690

Mexico's run

  • W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Group
  • W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Group
  • L 🇸🇪 0–3 Sweden, Group
  • L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Round of 16

South Korea's run

  • L 🇸🇪 0–1 Sweden, Group
  • L 🇲🇽 1–2 Mexico, Group
  • W 🇩🇪 2–0 Germany, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup