🇲🇽 Mexico 2–1 South Korea 🇰🇷
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15
Hirving Lozano €25M Héctor Herrera €20M Javier Hernández €15M 2–1 Mexico win
🇰🇷 South Korea value €88M · value #23 · Elo #25
Son Heung-min €50M Hwang Hee-chan €10M Ki Sung-yueng €7M
Goals
Mexico ▲ South Korea ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Carlos Vela 26' (pen) 26 Vela Javier Hernández 66' 66 Hernández Son Heung-min 90+3' 93 Heung-min
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Edson Álvarez · RB 21 Álvarez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo Carlos Salcedo · CB 3 Salcedo Carlos Vela · RF 11 Vela Héctor Herrera · CM 16 Herrera Andrés Guardado · CM 18 Guardado Hirving Lozano · LF 22 Lozano Miguel Layún · CM 7 Layún Javier Hernández · CF 14 Hernández 🇰🇷 South Korea
Jo Hyeon-woo · GK 23 Hyeon-woo Kim Min-woo · LB 12 Min-woo Kim Young-gwon · CB 19 Young-gwon Lee Yong · RB 2 Yong Jang Hyun-soo · CB 20 Hyun-soo Hwang Hee-chan · LM 11 Hee-chan Ki Sung-yueng · CM 16 Sung-yueng Moon Seon-min · RM 18 Seon-min Ju Se-jong · CM 8 Se-jong Lee Jae-sung · CF 17 Jae-sung Son Heung-min · CF 7 Heung-min
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 65.8% draw 21.6% 12.6% South Korea 🇰🇷
Model P(result)
65.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#369
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.60
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Group W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Group L 🇸🇪 0–3 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Round of 16
South Korea's run L 🇸🇪 0–1 Sweden, Group L 🇲🇽 1–2 Mexico, Group W 🇩🇪 2–0 Germany, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup