🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–0 Sweden 🇸🇪

2018 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7

2–0England win

value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17

Model P(result)

42.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.25

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1943 vs 1904

Stage

Quarter-final

2018 World Cup