🇩🇪 Germany 2–1 Sweden 🇸🇪

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €883M · value #4 · Elo #2

2–1Germany win

value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17

Model P(result)

66.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.58

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

213

2029 vs 1816

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup