🇩🇪 Germany 2–1 Sweden 🇸🇪
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇩🇪 Germany value €883M · value #4 · Elo #2
Toni Kroos €80M Mats Hummels €60M Thomas Müller €60M 2–1 Germany win
🇸🇪 Sweden value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17
Emil Forsberg €25M Victor Lindelöf €25M Viktor Claesson €8M Goals
Germany ▲ Sweden ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Marco Reus 48' 48 Reus Toni Kroos 90+5' 95 Kroos Ola Toivonen 32' 32 Toivonen
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Antonio Rüdiger · CB 16 Rüdiger Jérôme Boateng · CB 17 Boateng Joshua Kimmich · RB 18 Kimmich Jonas Hector · LB 3 Hector Sebastian Rudy · CM 19 Rudy Julian Draxler · AM 7 Draxler Toni Kroos · CM 8 Kroos Marco Reus · LW 11 Reus Thomas Müller · RW 13 Müller Timo Werner · CF 9 Werner 🇸🇪 Sweden
Robin Olsen · GK 1 Olsen Mikael Lustig · RB 2 Lustig Victor Lindelöf · CB 3 Lindelöf Andreas Granqvist · CB 4 Granqvist Ludwig Augustinsson · LB 6 Augustinsson Emil Forsberg · LM 10 Forsberg Viktor Claesson · RM 17 Claesson Sebastian Larsson · CM 7 Larsson Albin Ekdal · CM 8 Ekdal Ola Toivonen · CF 20 Toivonen Marcus Berg · CF 9 Berg Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇩🇪 Germany 66.7% draw 21.3% 12.0% Sweden 🇸🇪
Model P(result)
66.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#377
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.58
−log₂ P(observed)
Germany's run L 🇲🇽 0–1 Mexico, Group W 🇸🇪 2–1 Sweden, Group L 🇰🇷 0–2 South Korea, Group Sweden's run W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group L 🇩🇪 1–2 Germany, Group W 🇲🇽 3–0 Mexico, Group W 🇨🇭 1–0 Switzerland, Round of 16 L 🏴 0–2 England, Quarter-final
Head-to-head at the World Cup