🇸🇪 Sweden 3–0 Mexico 🇲🇽

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17

3–0Sweden win

value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15

Model P(result)

22.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.17

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

108

1802 vs 1910

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup