🇸🇪 Sweden 3–0 Mexico 🇲🇽
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇸🇪 Sweden value €120M · value #22 · Elo #17
Emil Forsberg €25M Victor Lindelöf €25M Viktor Claesson €8M 3–0 Sweden win
🇲🇽 Mexico value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15
Hirving Lozano €25M Héctor Herrera €20M Javier Hernández €15M Goals
Sweden ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ludwig Augustinsson 50' 50 Augustinsson Andreas Granqvist 62' (pen) 62 Granqvist Edson Álvarez 74' (o.g.) 74 Álvarez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇸🇪 Sweden
Robin Olsen · GK 1 Olsen Mikael Lustig · RB 2 Lustig Victor Lindelöf · CB 3 Lindelöf Andreas Granqvist · CB 4 Granqvist Ludwig Augustinsson · LB 6 Augustinsson Emil Forsberg · LM 10 Forsberg Viktor Claesson · RM 17 Claesson Sebastian Larsson · CM 7 Larsson Albin Ekdal · CM 8 Ekdal Ola Toivonen · CF 20 Toivonen Marcus Berg · CF 9 Berg 🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Edson Álvarez · RB 21 Álvarez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo Carlos Salcedo · CB 3 Salcedo Carlos Vela · AM 11 Vela Héctor Herrera · CM 16 Herrera Andrés Guardado · CM 18 Guardado Javier Hernández · CF 14 Hernández Hirving Lozano · LW 22 Lozano Miguel Layún · RW 7 Layún Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇸🇪 Sweden 22.3% draw 25.3% 52.4% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
22.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#78
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.17
−log₂ P(observed)
Sweden's run W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group L 🇩🇪 1–2 Germany, Group W 🇲🇽 3–0 Mexico, Group W 🇨🇭 1–0 Switzerland, Round of 16 L 🏴 0–2 England, Quarter-final Mexico's run W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Group W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Group L 🇸🇪 0–3 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.