🇳🇬 Nigeria 2–0 Iceland 🇮🇸

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €134M · value #20 · Elo #27

2–0Nigeria win

value €76M · value #24 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

20.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

124

1657 vs 1781

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup