🇳🇬 Nigeria 2–0 Iceland 🇮🇸
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇳🇬 Nigeria value €134M · value #20 · Elo #27
Wilfred Ndidi €25M Victor Moses €20M Ahmed Musa €15M 2–0 Nigeria win
🇮🇸 Iceland value €76M · value #24 · Elo #20
Gylfi Sigurðsson €30M Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson €10M Alfreð Finnbogason €10M Goals
Nigeria ▲ Iceland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ahmed Musa 49' 49 Musa Ahmed Musa 75' 75 Musa
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇳🇬 Nigeria
Francis Uzoho · GK 23 Uzoho Kenneth Omeruo · CB 22 Omeruo William Troost-Ekong · CB 5 Troost-Ekong Leon Balogun · CB 6 Balogun John Obi Mikel · DM 10 Mikel Wilfred Ndidi · CM 4 Ndidi Oghenekaro Etebo · CM 8 Etebo Victor Moses · RW 11 Moses Kelechi Iheanacho · CF 14 Iheanacho Brian Idowu · LW 2 Idowu Ahmed Musa · CF 7 Musa 🇮🇸 Iceland
Hannes Þór Halldórsson · GK 1 Halldórsson Kári Árnason · CB 14 Árnason Hörður Björgvin Magnússon · LB 18 Magnússon Birkir Már Sævarsson · RB 2 Sævarsson Ragnar Sigurðsson · CB 6 Sigurðsson Gylfi Sigurðsson · CM 10 Sigurðsson Aron Gunnarsson · CM 17 Gunnarsson Rúrik Gíslason · RM 19 Gíslason Birkir Bjarnason · LM 8 Bjarnason Alfreð Finnbogason · CF 11 Finnbogason Jón Daði Böðvarsson · CF 22 Böðvarsson Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇳🇬 Nigeria 20.5% draw 24.8% 54.7% Iceland 🇮🇸
Model P(result)
20.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#61
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.29
−log₂ P(observed)
Nigeria's run L 🇭🇷 0–2 Croatia, Group W 🇮🇸 2–0 Iceland, Group L 🇦🇷 1–2 Argentina, Group Iceland's run D 🇦🇷 1–1 Argentina, Group L 🇳🇬 0–2 Nigeria, Group L 🇭🇷 1–2 Croatia, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.