🇦🇷 Argentina 1–1 Iceland 🇮🇸
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €699M · value #7 · Elo #5
Lionel Messi €180M Paulo Dybala €110M Sergio Agüero €80M 1–1 draw
🇮🇸 Iceland value €76M · value #24 · Elo #20
Gylfi Sigurðsson €30M Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson €10M Alfreð Finnbogason €10M Goals
Argentina ▲ Iceland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Sergio Agüero 19' 19 Agüero Alfreð Finnbogason 23' 23 Finnbogason
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Willy Caballero · GK 23 Caballero Marcos Rojo · CB 16 Rojo Nicolás Otamendi · CB 17 Otamendi Eduardo Salvio · RB 18 Salvio Nicolás Tagliafico · LB 3 Tagliafico Lionel Messi · AM 10 Messi Javier Mascherano · CM 14 Mascherano Lucas Biglia · CM 5 Biglia Ángel Di María · LW 11 María Maximiliano Meza · RW 13 Meza Sergio Agüero · CF 19 Agüero 🇮🇸 Iceland
Hannes Þór Halldórsson · GK 1 Halldórsson Kári Árnason · CB 14 Árnason Hörður Björgvin Magnússon · LB 18 Magnússon Birkir Már Sævarsson · RB 2 Sævarsson Ragnar Sigurðsson · CB 6 Sigurðsson Gylfi Sigurðsson · DM 10 Sigurðsson Aron Gunnarsson · CM 17 Gunnarsson Emil Hallfreðsson · CM 20 Hallfreðsson Alfreð Finnbogason · CF 11 Finnbogason Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson · RW 7 Guðmundsson Birkir Bjarnason · LW 8 Bjarnason Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 67.5% draw 21.0% 11.5% Iceland 🇮🇸
Model P(result)
21.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#66
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.25
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run D 🇮🇸 1–1 Iceland, Group L 🇭🇷 0–3 Croatia, Group W 🇳🇬 2–1 Nigeria, Group L 🇫🇷 3–4 France, Round of 16 Iceland's run D 🇦🇷 1–1 Argentina, Group L 🇳🇬 0–2 Nigeria, Group L 🇭🇷 1–2 Croatia, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.