🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €699M · value #7 · Elo #5

2–1Argentina win

value €134M · value #20 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

63.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.67

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

184

1901 vs 1717

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup