🇭🇷 Croatia 2–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €364M · value #10 · Elo #14

2–0Croatia win

value €134M · value #20 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

61.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.70

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

172

1853 vs 1681

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup