🇭🇷 Croatia 2–0 Nigeria 🇳🇬
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇭🇷 Croatia value €364M · value #10 · Elo #14
Ivan Rakitić €50M Ivan Perišić €40M Mateo Kovačić €30M 2–0 Croatia win
🇳🇬 Nigeria value €134M · value #20 · Elo #27
Wilfred Ndidi €25M Victor Moses €20M Ahmed Musa €15M Goals
Croatia ▲ Nigeria ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Etebo 32' (o.g.) 32 Etebo Luka Modrić 71' (pen) 71 Modrić
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Danijel Subašić · GK 23 Subašić Šime Vrsaljko · RB 2 Vrsaljko Domagoj Vida · CB 21 Vida Ivan Strinić · LB 3 Strinić Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Ivan Rakitić · CM 7 Rakitić Andrej Kramarić · AM 9 Kramarić Mario Mandžukić · CF 17 Mandžukić Ante Rebić · RW 18 Rebić Ivan Perišić · LW 4 Perišić 🇳🇬 Nigeria
Francis Uzoho · GK 23 Uzoho Shehu Abdullahi · RB 12 Abdullahi Brian Idowu · LB 2 Idowu William Troost-Ekong · CB 5 Troost-Ekong Leon Balogun · CB 6 Balogun John Obi Mikel · AM 10 Mikel Wilfred Ndidi · CM 4 Ndidi Oghenekaro Etebo · CM 8 Etebo Victor Moses · RW 11 Moses Alex Iwobi · LW 18 Iwobi Odion Ighalo · CF 9 Ighalo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 61.4% draw 23.0% 15.6% Nigeria 🇳🇬
Model P(result)
61.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#338
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.70
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run W 🇳🇬 2–0 Nigeria, Group W 🇦🇷 3–0 Argentina, Group W 🇮🇸 2–1 Iceland, Group D 🇩🇰 1–1 Denmark, Round of 16 D 🇷🇺 2–2 Russia, Quarter-final W 🏴 2–1 England, Semi-final L 🇫🇷 2–4 France, Final Nigeria's run L 🇭🇷 0–2 Croatia, Group W 🇮🇸 2–0 Iceland, Group L 🇦🇷 1–2 Argentina, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.