🇨🇴 Colombia 1–0 Senegal 🇸🇳

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €251M · value #15 · Elo #9

1–0Colombia win

value €300M · value #11 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

57.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.81

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

140

1919 vs 1779

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup