🇨🇴 Colombia 3–0 Poland 🇵🇱
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇨🇴 Colombia value €251M · value #15 · Elo #9
James Rodríguez €70M Davinson Sánchez €40M Juan Cuadrado €28M 3–0 Colombia win
🇵🇱 Poland value €275M · value #13 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €90M Piotr Zieliński €32M Wojciech Szczęsny €20M Goals
Colombia ▲ Poland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Yerry Mina 40' 40 Mina Radamel Falcao 70' 70 Falcao Juan Cuadrado 75' 75 Cuadrado
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇨🇴 Colombia
David Ospina · GK 1 Ospina Yerry Mina · CB 13 Mina Johan Mojica · LB 17 Mojica Davinson Sánchez · CB 23 Sánchez Santiago Arias · RB 4 Arias Juan Fernando Quintero · AM 20 Quintero Wílmar Barrios · CM 5 Barrios Abel Aguilar · CM 8 Aguilar James Rodríguez · LW 10 Rodríguez Juan Cuadrado · RW 11 Cuadrado Radamel Falcao · CF 9 Falcao 🇵🇱 Poland
Wojciech Szczęsny · GK 1 Szczęsny Michał Pazdan · CB 2 Pazdan Łukasz Piszczek · CB 20 Piszczek Jan Bednarek · CB 5 Bednarek Grzegorz Krychowiak · CM 10 Krychowiak Maciej Rybus · LM 13 Rybus Bartosz Bereszyński · RM 18 Bereszyński Piotr Zieliński · RF 19 Zieliński Dawid Kownacki · LF 23 Kownacki Jacek Góralski · CM 6 Góralski Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇨🇴 Colombia 49.2% draw 25.9% 24.9% Poland 🇵🇱
Model P(result)
49.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#259
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.02
−log₂ P(observed)
Colombia's run L 🇯🇵 1–2 Japan, Group W 🇵🇱 3–0 Poland, Group W 🇸🇳 1–0 Senegal, Group D 🏴 1–1 England, Round of 16 Poland's run L 🇸🇳 1–2 Senegal, Group L 🇨🇴 0–3 Colombia, Group W 🇯🇵 1–0 Japan, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.