🇨🇴 Colombia 3–0 Poland 🇵🇱

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €251M · value #15 · Elo #9

3–0Colombia win

value €275M · value #13 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

49.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.02

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1879 vs 1793

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup