🇯🇵 Japan 2–2 Senegal 🇸🇳

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26

2–2draw

value €300M · value #11 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

26.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.91

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1732 vs 1783

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup