🇯🇵 Japan 2–2 Senegal 🇸🇳
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇯🇵 Japan value €73M · value #25 · Elo #26
Shinji Kagawa €13M Maya Yoshida €7M Shinji Okazaki €6M 2–2 draw
🇸🇳 Senegal value €300M · value #11 · Elo #21
Sadio Mané €70M Kalidou Koulibaly €60M Keita Baldé €30M
Goals
Japan ▲ Senegal ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Takashi Inui 34' 34 Inui Keisuke Honda 78' 78 Honda Sadio Mané 11' 11 Mané Moussa Wagué 71' 71 Wagué
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇯🇵 Japan
Eiji Kawashima · GK 1 Kawashima Hiroki Sakai · RB 19 Sakai Maya Yoshida · CB 22 Yoshida Gen Shoji · CB 3 Shoji Yuto Nagatomo · LB 5 Nagatomo Shinji Kagawa · AM 10 Kagawa Makoto Hasebe · CM 17 Hasebe Gaku Shibasaki · CM 7 Shibasaki Takashi Inui · LW 14 Inui Yuya Osako · CF 15 Osako Genki Haraguchi · RW 8 Haraguchi 🇸🇳 Senegal
Khadim N'Diaye · GK 16 N'Diaye Youssouf Sabaly · RB 12 Sabaly Moussa Wagué · LB 22 Wagué Kalidou Koulibaly · CB 3 Koulibaly Salif Sané · CB 6 Sané Sadio Mané · LF 10 Mané Alfred N'Diaye · CM 13 N'Diaye Badou Ndiaye · CM 17 Ndiaye Ismaïla Sarr · RF 18 Sarr Idrissa Gueye · CM 5 Gueye M'Baye Niang · CF 19 Niang
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇯🇵 Japan 29.4% draw 26.6% 44.0% Senegal 🇸🇳
Model P(result)
26.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#141
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.91
−log₂ P(observed)
Japan's run W 🇨🇴 2–1 Colombia, Group D 🇸🇳 2–2 Senegal, Group L 🇵🇱 0–1 Poland, Group L 🇧🇪 2–3 Belgium, Round of 16
Senegal's run W 🇵🇱 2–1 Poland, Group D 🇯🇵 2–2 Japan, Group L 🇨🇴 0–1 Colombia, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.