🇸🇳 Senegal 2–1 Poland 🇵🇱
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇸🇳 Senegal value €300M · value #11 · Elo #21
Sadio Mané €70M Kalidou Koulibaly €60M Keita Baldé €30M 2–1 Senegal win
🇵🇱 Poland value €275M · value #13 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €90M Piotr Zieliński €32M Wojciech Szczęsny €20M Goals
Senegal ▲ Poland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Thiago Cionek 37' (o.g.) 37 Cionek M'Baye Niang 60' 60 Niang Grzegorz Krychowiak 86' 86 Krychowiak
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇸🇳 Senegal
Khadim N'Diaye · GK 16 N'Diaye Youssouf Sabaly · LB 12 Sabaly Moussa Wagué · RB 22 Wagué Kalidou Koulibaly · CB 3 Koulibaly Salif Sané · CB 6 Sané Sadio Mané · RM 10 Mané Alfred N'Diaye · CM 13 N'Diaye Ismaïla Sarr · LM 18 Sarr Idrissa Gueye · CM 5 Gueye M'Baye Niang · CF 19 Niang Mame Biram Diouf · CF 9 Diouf 🇵🇱 Poland
Wojciech Szczęsny · GK 1 Szczęsny Maciej Rybus · LB 13 Rybus Michał Pazdan · CB 2 Pazdan Łukasz Piszczek · RB 20 Piszczek Thiago Cionek · CB 4 Cionek Grzegorz Krychowiak · CM 10 Krychowiak Piotr Zieliński · CM 19 Zieliński Arkadiusz Milik · AM 7 Milik Kamil Grosicki · LW 11 Grosicki Jakub Błaszczykowski · RW 16 Błaszczykowski Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇸🇳 Senegal 25.2% draw 26.0% 48.8% Poland 🇵🇱
Model P(result)
25.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#116
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.99
−log₂ P(observed)
Senegal's run W 🇵🇱 2–1 Poland, Group D 🇯🇵 2–2 Japan, Group L 🇨🇴 0–1 Colombia, Group Poland's run L 🇸🇳 1–2 Senegal, Group L 🇨🇴 0–3 Colombia, Group W 🇯🇵 1–0 Japan, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.