🇸🇳 Senegal 2–1 Poland 🇵🇱

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €300M · value #11 · Elo #21

2–1Senegal win

value €275M · value #13 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

25.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.99

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1746 vs 1830

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup