🇺🇸 United States 1–1 Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €277M · value #15 · Elo #19

1–1draw

value €160M · value #23 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1796 vs 1789

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup