🇺🇸 United States 1–1 Wales 🏴
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇺🇸 United States value €277M · value #15 · Elo #19
Christian Pulisic €38M Giovanni Reyna €35M Brenden Aaronson €30M 1–1 draw
🏴 Wales value €160M · value #23 · Elo #20
Ben Davies €20M Brennan Johnson €20M Neco Williams €18M Goals
United States ▲ Wales ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Timothy Weah 36' 36 Weah Gareth Bale 82' (pen) 82 Bale
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇸 United States
Matt Turner · GK 1 Turner Tim Ream · CB 13 Ream Sergiño Dest · RB 2 Dest Walker Zimmerman · CB 3 Zimmerman Antonee Robinson · LB 5 Robinson Christian Pulisic · LF 10 Pulisic Timothy Weah · RF 21 Weah Tyler Adams · DM 4 Adams Yunus Musah · CM 6 Musah Weston McKennie · CM 8 McKennie Josh Sargent · CF 24 Sargent 🏴 Wales
Wayne Hennessey · GK 1 Hennessey Ben Davies · CB 4 Davies Chris Mepham · CB 5 Mepham Joe Rodon · CB 6 Rodon Aaron Ramsey · CM 10 Ramsey Ethan Ampadu · DM 15 Ampadu Harry Wilson · CM 8 Wilson Gareth Bale · CF 11 Bale Connor Roberts · RW 14 Roberts Daniel James · CF 20 James Neco Williams · LW 3 Williams Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇸 United States 37.5% draw 27.0% 35.5% Wales 🏴
Model P(result)
27.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#165
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.89
−log₂ P(observed)
United States's run D 🏴 1–1 Wales, Group D 🏴 0–0 England, Group W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group L 🇳🇱 1–3 Netherlands, Round of 16 Wales's run D 🇺🇸 1–1 United States, Group L 🇮🇷 0–2 Iran, Group L 🏴 0–3 England, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.