🏴 England 3–0 Wales 🏴
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🏴 England value €1260M · value #1 · Elo #12
Phil Foden €110M Jude Bellingham €100M Harry Kane €90M 3–0 England win
🏴 Wales value €160M · value #23 · Elo #20
Ben Davies €20M Brennan Johnson €20M Neco Williams €18M Goals
England ▲ Wales ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Marcus Rashford 50' 50 Rashford Phil Foden 51' 51 Foden Marcus Rashford 68' 68 Rashford
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🏴 England
Jordan Pickford · GK 1 Pickford Kyle Walker · RB 2 Walker Luke Shaw · LB 3 Shaw John Stones · CB 5 Stones Harry Maguire · CB 6 Maguire Marcus Rashford · LF 11 Rashford Phil Foden · RF 20 Foden Jude Bellingham · CM 22 Bellingham Declan Rice · DM 4 Rice Jordan Henderson · CM 8 Henderson Harry Kane · CF 9 Kane 🏴 Wales
Danny Ward · GK 12 Ward Neco Williams · RB 3 Williams Ben Davies · LB 4 Davies Chris Mepham · CB 5 Mepham Joe Rodon · CB 6 Rodon Aaron Ramsey · CM 10 Ramsey Gareth Bale · RF 11 Bale Ethan Ampadu · DM 15 Ampadu Daniel James · LF 20 James Joe Allen · CM 7 Allen Kieffer Moore · CF 13 Moore Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🏴 England 65.3% draw 21.8% 12.9% Wales 🏴
Model P(result)
65.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#363
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.61
−log₂ P(observed)
England's run W 🇮🇷 6–2 Iran, Group D 🇺🇸 0–0 United States, Group W 🏴 3–0 Wales, Group W 🇸🇳 3–0 Senegal, Round of 16 L 🇫🇷 1–2 France, Quarter-final Wales's run D 🇺🇸 1–1 United States, Group L 🇮🇷 0–2 Iran, Group L 🏴 0–3 England, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.