🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 3–0 Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England
value €1260M · value #1 · Elo #12
3–0England win
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales
value €160M · value #23 · Elo #20
Model P(result)
65.3%
model probability of the observed score
Upset index
0.61
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
202
1943 vs 1741
Stage
Group
2022 World Cup

Squads: England 2022 · Wales 2022