🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 0–0 United States 🇺🇸

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1260M · value #1 · Elo #12

0–0draw

value €277M · value #15 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

23.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.09

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

161

1956 vs 1795

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup