🇮🇷 Iran 2–0 Wales 🏴
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇮🇷 Iran value €60M · value #28 · Elo #18
Mehdi Taremi €20M Sardar Azmoun €12M Alireza Jahanbakhsh €3M 2–0 Iran win
🏴 Wales value €160M · value #23 · Elo #20
Ben Davies €20M Brennan Johnson €20M Neco Williams €18M Goals
Iran ▲ Wales ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Rouzbeh Cheshmi 90+8' 98 Cheshmi Ramin Rezaeian 90+11' 101 Rezaeian
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇮🇷 Iran
Hossein Hosseini · GK 24 Hosseini Majid Hosseini · CB 19 Hosseini Ramin Rezaeian · RB 23 Rezaeian Milad Mohammadi · LB 5 Mohammadi Morteza Pouraliganji · CB 8 Pouraliganji Ali Gholizadeh · RM 17 Gholizadeh Ahmad Nourollahi · CM 21 Nourollahi Ehsan Hajsafi · LM 3 Hajsafi Saeid Ezatolahi · CM 6 Ezatolahi Sardar Azmoun · CF 20 Azmoun Mehdi Taremi · SS 9 Taremi 🏴 Wales
Wayne Hennessey · GK 1 Hennessey Ben Davies · CB 4 Davies Chris Mepham · CB 5 Mepham Joe Rodon · CB 6 Rodon Aaron Ramsey · CM 10 Ramsey Ethan Ampadu · DM 15 Ampadu Harry Wilson · CM 8 Wilson Gareth Bale · CF 11 Bale Kieffer Moore · CF 13 Moore Connor Roberts · RW 14 Roberts Neco Williams · LW 3 Williams Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇮🇷 Iran 32.4% draw 26.9% 40.7% Wales 🏴
Model P(result)
32.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#185
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.63
−log₂ P(observed)
Iran's run L 🏴 2–6 England, Group W 🏴 2–0 Wales, Group L 🇺🇸 0–1 United States, Group Wales's run D 🇺🇸 1–1 United States, Group L 🇮🇷 0–2 Iran, Group L 🏴 0–3 England, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.