🇮🇷 Iran 2–0 Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €60M · value #28 · Elo #18

2–0Iran win

value €160M · value #23 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

32.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.63

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1761 vs 1790

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup