🇺🇸 United States 1–0 Iran 🇮🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €277M · value #15 · Elo #19

1–0United States win

value €60M · value #28 · Elo #18

Model P(result)

36.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.47

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1808 vs 1810

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup