🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 6–2 Iran 🇮🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1260M · value #1 · Elo #12

6–2England win

value €60M · value #28 · Elo #18

Model P(result)

54.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.88

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

121

1919 vs 1798

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup