🇹🇳 Tunisia 1–0 France 🇫🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €62M · value #27 · Elo #27

1–0Tunisia win

value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

4.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

4.59

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

353

1692 vs 2045

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup