🇨🇷 Costa Rica 1–0 Japan 🇯🇵

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €19M · value #31 · Elo #25

1–0Costa Rica win

value €154M · value #25 · Elo #21

Model P(result)

22.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.17

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

109

1723 vs 1832

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup