🇯🇵 Japan 2–1 Spain 🇪🇸

2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇯🇵 Japan
value €154M · value #25 · Elo #21
  • Daichi Kamada €30M
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu €25M
  • Ritsu Dōan €12M
2–1Japan win
🇪🇸 Spain
value €877M · value #6 · Elo #3
  • Pedri €100M
  • Gavi €90M
  • Rodri €80M
Goals
Japan ▲Spain ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Ritsu Dōan 48'48DōanAo Tanaka 51'51TanakaÁlvaro Morata 11'11Morata
🇯🇵 Japan
🇪🇸 Spain
Starting line-ups
🇯🇵 Japan
🇪🇸 Spain
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇯🇵 Japan 8.5%draw 18.9%72.6% Spain 🇪🇸
Model P(result)
8.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#10
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
3.56
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
264
1793 vs 2057

Japan's run

  • W 🇩🇪 2–1 Germany, Group
  • L 🇨🇷 0–1 Costa Rica, Group
  • W 🇪🇸 2–1 Spain, Group
  • D 🇭🇷 1–1 Croatia, Round of 16

Spain's run

  • W 🇨🇷 7–0 Costa Rica, Group
  • D 🇩🇪 1–1 Germany, Group
  • L 🇯🇵 1–2 Japan, Group
  • D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Round of 16

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.