🇯🇵 Japan 2–1 Spain 🇪🇸

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €154M · value #25 · Elo #21

2–1Japan win

value €877M · value #6 · Elo #3

Model P(result)

8.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.56

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

264

1793 vs 2057

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup