🇯🇵 Japan 2–1 Germany 🇩🇪

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €154M · value #25 · Elo #21

2–1Japan win

value €886M · value #5 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

15.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.70

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

174

1788 vs 1962

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup