🇯🇵 Japan 2–1 Germany 🇩🇪
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇯🇵 Japan value €154M · value #25 · Elo #21
Daichi Kamada €30M Takehiro Tomiyasu €25M Ritsu Dōan €12M 2–1 Japan win
🇩🇪 Germany value €886M · value #5 · Elo #9
Jamal Musiala €100M Joshua Kimmich €80M Leroy Sané €70M Goals
Japan ▲ Germany ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ritsu Dōan 75' 75 Dōan Takuma Asano 83' 83 Asano İlkay Gündoğan 33' (pen) 33 Gündoğan
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇯🇵 Japan
Shūichi Gonda · GK 12 Gonda Hiroki Sakai · RB 19 Sakai Maya Yoshida · CB 22 Yoshida Ko Itakura · CB 4 Itakura Yūto Nagatomo · LB 5 Nagatomo Daichi Kamada · AM 15 Kamada Ao Tanaka · CM 17 Tanaka Wataru Endo · CM 6 Endo Takefusa Kubo · LW 11 Kubo Junya Itō · RW 14 Itō Daizen Maeda · CF 25 Maeda 🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Niklas Süle · RB 15 Süle Antonio Rüdiger · CB 2 Rüdiger Nico Schlotterbeck · CB 23 Schlotterbeck David Raum · LB 3 Raum Thomas Müller · AM 13 Müller İlkay Gündoğan · CM 21 Gündoğan Joshua Kimmich · CM 6 Kimmich Serge Gnabry · RW 10 Gnabry Jamal Musiala · LW 14 Musiala Kai Havertz · CF 7 Havertz Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇯🇵 Japan 15.4% draw 23.0% 61.6% Germany 🇩🇪
Model P(result)
15.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#33
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.70
−log₂ P(observed)
Japan's run W 🇩🇪 2–1 Germany, Group L 🇨🇷 0–1 Costa Rica, Group W 🇪🇸 2–1 Spain, Group D 🇭🇷 1–1 Croatia, Round of 16 Germany's run L 🇯🇵 1–2 Japan, Group D 🇪🇸 1–1 Spain, Group W 🇨🇷 4–2 Costa Rica, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.