🇭🇷 Croatia 1–1 Japan 🇯🇵
2022 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇭🇷 Croatia value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11
Joško Gvardiol €60M Mateo Kovačić €40M Marcelo Brozović €35M 1–1 draw
🇯🇵 Japan value €154M · value #25 · Elo #21
Daichi Kamada €30M Takehiro Tomiyasu €25M Ritsu Dōan €12M Goals
Croatia ▲ Japan ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ivan Perišić 55' 55 Perišić Daizen Maeda 43' 43 Maeda
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Joško Gvardiol · CB 20 Gvardiol Josip Juranović · RB 22 Juranović Borna Barišić · LB 3 Barišić Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Marcelo Brozović · DM 11 Brozović Ivan Perišić · LF 4 Perišić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Andrej Kramarić · RF 9 Kramarić Bruno Petković · CF 16 Petković 🇯🇵 Japan
Shūichi Gonda · GK 12 Gonda Takehiro Tomiyasu · CB 16 Tomiyasu Maya Yoshida · CB 22 Yoshida Shogo Taniguchi · CB 3 Taniguchi Hidemasa Morita · CM 13 Morita Junya Itō · RM 14 Itō Daichi Kamada · LF 15 Kamada Yuto Nagatomo · LM 5 Nagatomo Wataru Endo · CM 6 Endo Ritsu Dōan · RF 8 Dōan Daizen Maeda · CF 25 Maeda Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 51.5% draw 25.5% 23.0% Japan 🇯🇵
Model P(result)
25.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#121
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.97
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Group W 🇨🇦 4–1 Canada, Group D 🇧🇪 0–0 Belgium, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Round of 16 D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 0–3 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇲🇦 2–1 Morocco, Third place Japan's run W 🇩🇪 2–1 Germany, Group L 🇨🇷 0–1 Costa Rica, Group W 🇪🇸 2–1 Spain, Group D 🇭🇷 1–1 Croatia, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup