🇩🇪 Germany 4–2 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €886M · value #5 · Elo #9

4–2Germany win

value €19M · value #31 · Elo #25

Model P(result)

60.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.72

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

168

1930 vs 1762

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup