🇩🇪 Germany 4–2 Costa Rica 🇨🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇩🇪 Germany
value €886M · value #5 · Elo #9
  • Jamal Musiala €100M
  • Joshua Kimmich €80M
  • Leroy Sané €70M
4–2Germany win
🇨🇷 Costa Rica
value €19M · value #31 · Elo #25
  • Keylor Navas €5M
  • Joel Campbell €2M
  • Francisco Calvo €2M
Goals
Germany ▲Costa Rica ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Serge Gnabry 10'10GnabryKai Havertz 73'73HavertzKai Havertz 85'85HavertzNiclas Füllkrug 89'89FüllkrugYeltsin Tejeda 58'58TejedaJuan Pablo Vargas 70'70Vargas
🇩🇪 Germany
🇨🇷 Costa Rica
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇩🇪 Germany 60.9%draw 23.2%15.9% Costa Rica 🇨🇷
Model P(result)
60.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#333
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.72
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
168
1930 vs 1762

Germany's run

  • L 🇯🇵 1–2 Japan, Group
  • D 🇪🇸 1–1 Spain, Group
  • W 🇨🇷 4–2 Costa Rica, Group

Costa Rica's run

  • L 🇪🇸 0–7 Spain, Group
  • W 🇯🇵 1–0 Japan, Group
  • L 🇩🇪 2–4 Germany, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup