🇦🇷 Argentina 3–1 Jordan 🇯🇴 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €808M · value #7 · Elo #2

3–1Argentina win

value €20M · value #47 · Elo #36

Model P(result)

90.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.14

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

512

2144 vs 1632

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup