🇨🇴 Colombia 3–1 Uzbekistan 🇺🇿 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €302M · value #21 · Elo #7

3–1Colombia win

value €85M · value #35 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

73.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.45

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

268

1982 vs 1714

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup