🇨🇴 Colombia 1–0 DR Congo 🇨🇩 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €302M · value #21 · Elo #7

1–0Colombia win

value €144M · value #32 · Elo #37

Model P(result)

78.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

324

1998 vs 1674

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup